Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Staal 54.2% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone
McBain 69.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
McBain
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
57.0% (1,017)
-5.8%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
57.7% (26)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
45.1% (286)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
McBain
Staal
Home
53.6% (235)
54.3% (667)
Away
46.0% (224)
54.7% (662)
By Period
McBain
Staal
P1
48.6%
56.2%
P2
50.9%
57.0%
P3
50.0%
49.7%
Final 5 min
55.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%