Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs McTavish 49.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 63.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 64.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 50.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
McBain
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McBain
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
47.6% (616)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
57.8% (102)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
33.3% (6)
+3.7%
On even strength, McBain has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
McBain
McTavish
Home
52.2% (289)
52.2% (389)
Away
50.0% (316)
45.1% (335)
By Period
McBain
McTavish
P1
52.6%
50.0%
P2
53.6%
47.9%
P3
47.1%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Jack McBain |