Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs McTavish 50.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 53.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 58.3%
Neutral zone
McTavish 54.9%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
McBain
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McBain
McTavish
Last 6: McBain 3-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
McBain
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
51.1% (769)
+0.1%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
50.6% (178)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
28.6% (14)
-1.3%
On power play, McTavish has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
McBain
McTavish
Home
53.6% (235)
52.3% (461)
Away
46.0% (224)
49.2% (500)
By Period
McBain
McTavish
P1
48.6%
51.5%
P2
50.9%
54.0%
P3
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
55.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |