Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs McTavish 51.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 61.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 66.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.2%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
McBain
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McBain
McTavish
Last 6: McBain 3-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
3
McBain
McTavish
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
51.3% (725)
-5.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
55.8% (113)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
28.6% (7)
+9.2%
On power play, McTavish has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McBain shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
McBain
McTavish
Home
50.6% (330)
52.0% (454)
Away
39.7% (320)
51.4% (391)
By Period
McBain
McTavish
P1
45.4%
51.3%
P2
44.5%
50.4%
P3
45.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |