Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs McTavish 48.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 67.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 62.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 59.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
McBain
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
McBain
McTavish
Last 10: McBain 5-5 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
4
2
McBain
McTavish
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
4
1
McBain
McTavish
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
5
7
McBain
McTavish
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
48.2% (2,788)
-0.2%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
52.6% (435)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
34.3% (35)
+1.4%
On power play, McTavish has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
McBain shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
Home / Away
McBain
McTavish
Home
49.0% (1,359)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
McBain
McTavish
P1
46.7%
50.0%
P2
47.5%
47.8%
P3
45.6%
48.4%
OT
37.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Jack McBain |