Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs McTavish 43.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 53.9%
Defensive zone
McBain 73.2%
Neutral zone
McBain 56.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
McBain
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McBain
McTavish
Last 7: McBain 5-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
McBain
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
0
McBain
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
42.4% (675)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
40.5% (42)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
50.0% (8)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
McBain
McTavish
Home
45.5% (437)
41.9% (372)
Away
42.4% (403)
42.8% (353)
By Period
McBain
McTavish
P1
43.5%
47.2%
P2
44.0%
36.2%
P3
45.0%
43.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Jack McBain |