Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Frost 51.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 64.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 73.2%
Neutral zone
McBain 55.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
McBain
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McBain
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
McBain
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
50.3% (825)
+0.9%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
54.9% (204)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
50.0% (4)
-22.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
McBain
Frost
Home
53.6% (235)
50.7% (489)
Away
46.0% (224)
51.7% (544)
By Period
McBain
Frost
P1
48.6%
53.6%
P2
50.9%
47.8%
P3
50.0%
52.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |