Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Thomas 52.7% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 63.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 76.0%
Neutral zone
McBain 57.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
McBain
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
McBain
Thomas
Last 10: McBain 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
5
McBain
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
1
McBain
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
53.6% (924)
-8.3%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
55.2% (181)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
44.0% (116)
-6.4%
On even strength, Thomas has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
McBain shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
McBain
Thomas
Home
45.5% (437)
53.6% (606)
Away
42.4% (403)
52.2% (615)
By Period
McBain
Thomas
P1
43.5%
48.2%
P2
44.0%
55.3%
P3
45.0%
55.2%
OT
33.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |