Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Thomas 54.5% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 56.5%
Defensive zone
McBain 58.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 52.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
McBain
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McBain
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
McBain
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
55.3% (990)
-4.1%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
54.2% (190)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
52.5% (158)
-25.2%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McBain is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (143).
McBain shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
McBain
Thomas
Home
53.6% (235)
55.1% (690)
Away
46.0% (224)
54.5% (648)
By Period
McBain
Thomas
P1
48.6%
55.5%
P2
50.9%
56.4%
P3
50.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%