Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). McBain wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.8% vs Thomas 51.7% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 84.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 86.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 77.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
McBain
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
18
(25 meetings)
7
18
McBain
Thomas
Last 10: McBain 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
9
McBain
Thomas
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
McBain
Thomas
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
5
McBain
Thomas
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,328)
51.2% (5,518)
-3.0%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
55.9% (956)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
50.1% (703)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McBain is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (996).
McBain shoots left. Thomas is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,075).
Home / Away
McBain
Thomas
Home
49.1% (1,379)
51.0% (3,551)
Away
44.1% (1,314)
52.3% (3,626)
By Period
McBain
Thomas
P1
47.1%
50.8%
P2
47.4%
52.8%
P3
45.4%
51.1%
OT
37.5%
58.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
55.5%
46.6%
Thomas
48.0%▼
55.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 09:16 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |