Jack McBain vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 64.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 57.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
47.6% (231)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
83.3% (12)
-26.2%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
33.3% (21)
+3.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.2% (289)
51.2% (164)
Away
50.0% (316)
43.0% (100)
By Period
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.6%
50.0%
P2
53.6%
46.2%
P3
47.1%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Jack McBain |