Jack McBain vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 60.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 69.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 62.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (504)
47.6% (189)
+5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (42)
29.4% (17)
+3.9%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. McBain is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
McBain shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.8% (251)
48.5% (132)
Away
50.5% (307)
43.4% (76)
By Period
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.9%
51.4%
P2
53.9%
41.3%
P3
48.1%
48.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Jack McBain |