Jack McBain vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jack McBain holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McBain 46.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 61.3%
Defensive zone McBain 67.8%
Neutral zone McBain 54.9%
Result Jack McBain favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
McBain Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 3 (8 meetings)
5
3
McBain Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: McBain 5-3 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain Nugent-Hopkins
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
44.9% (8,756)
+3.1%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
50.7% (839)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
37.9% (879)
-2.2%
On even strength, McBain has a +3.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
McBain shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.0% (1,359)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.7%
45.1%
P2
47.5%
43.9%
P3
45.6%
45.3%
OT
37.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
43.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%
52.0%
46.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%
50.0%
44.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 28, 2025 3 18:24 Defensive Jack McBain
Mar 18, 2025 3 17:36 Offensive Jack McBain
Mar 18, 2025 3 17:25 Neutral Jack McBain
Mar 18, 2025 3 13:42 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Mar 18, 2025 1 01:23 Defensive Jack McBain
Mar 18, 2025 1 01:18 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 7, 2022 3 13:45 Offensive Jack McBain
Dec 7, 2022 1 06:55 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins