Jack McBain vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 54.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 51.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
45.4% (527)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
41.2% (17)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
44.9% (138)
-7.3%
On power play, McBain has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.5% (437)
46.1% (336)
Away
42.4% (403)
44.2% (346)
By Period
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
43.5%
49.1%
P2
44.0%
45.3%
P3
45.0%
42.0%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |