Jack McBain vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 50.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 55.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
51.0% (408)
-4.7%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
0.0% (6)
+37.5%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
35.9% (78)
+1.9%
On power play, McBain has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McBain shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.6% (330)
50.8% (258)
Away
39.7% (320)
44.9% (234)
By Period
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.4%
51.6%
P2
44.5%
45.2%
P3
45.7%
47.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
45.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%