Jack McBain vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 58.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 50.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.0%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: McBain 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
50.3% (479)
+0.9%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
50.0% (28)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
30.0% (50)
-2.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.6% (235)
48.9% (270)
Away
46.0% (224)
48.1% (287)
By Period
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.6%
48.7%
P2
50.9%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
47.3%
Final 5 min
55.1%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |