Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.0% vs 43.8%). McBain wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Strome 44.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 69.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 68.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
McBain
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McBain
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
43.0% (788)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
47.9% (96)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
50.0% (34)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
McBain shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
McBain
Strome
Home
45.5% (437)
42.6% (486)
Away
42.4% (403)
45.1% (432)
By Period
McBain
Strome
P1
43.5%
41.0%
P2
44.0%
47.8%
P3
45.0%
42.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Jack McBain |