Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 46.1%). McBain wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Strome 46.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 64.9%
Defensive zone
McBain 60.3%
Neutral zone
McBain 51.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
McBain
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McBain
Strome
Last 5: McBain 3-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
McBain
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
46.4% (371)
-0.1%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
43.3% (97)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
55.6% (18)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. McBain is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
McBain shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
McBain
Strome
Home
50.6% (330)
47.6% (225)
Away
39.7% (320)
44.8% (261)
By Period
McBain
Strome
P1
45.4%
45.4%
P2
44.5%
47.6%
P3
45.7%
45.2%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 08:15 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |