Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). McBain wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Strome 44.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 57.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 68.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 58.0%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
McBain
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
McBain
Strome
Last 10: McBain 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
4
3
McBain
Strome
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
3
4
McBain
Strome
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
44.1% (6,839)
+3.9%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
49.3% (854)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
41.5% (410)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. McBain is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (990).
McBain shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
McBain
Strome
Home
49.0% (1,359)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
McBain
Strome
P1
46.7%
44.0%
P2
47.5%
45.3%
P3
45.6%
44.3%
OT
37.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 08:15 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Jack McBain |