Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Strome 45.2% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 68.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 68.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 70.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
McBain
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McBain
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
McBain
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
44.2% (267)
+7.9%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
37.0% (27)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
50.0% (4)
-13.0%
On power play, McBain has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. McBain is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McBain shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
McBain
Strome
Home
52.2% (289)
42.0% (157)
Away
50.0% (316)
45.4% (141)
By Period
McBain
Strome
P1
52.6%
40.0%
P2
53.6%
46.4%
P3
47.1%
44.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |