Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Bennett 47.3% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 70.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 69.2%
Neutral zone
Bennett 52.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
McBain
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McBain
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
McBain
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
48.2% (766)
-2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
45.1% (82)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
33.9% (56)
+3.7%
On power play, McBain has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
McBain
Bennett
Home
45.5% (437)
49.1% (458)
Away
42.4% (403)
44.8% (446)
By Period
McBain
Bennett
P1
43.5%
47.9%
P2
44.0%
47.2%
P3
45.0%
46.4%
OT
33.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Jack McBain |