Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 47.2%). Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Bennett 47.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 75.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 63.4%
Neutral zone
Bennett 52.4%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
McBain
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
McBain
Bennett
Last 10: McBain 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
McBain
Bennett
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
3
McBain
Bennett
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
4
1
McBain
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
46.8% (5,683)
+1.2%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
53.7% (555)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
41.8% (256)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
McBain shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
McBain
Bennett
Home
49.0% (1,359)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
McBain
Bennett
P1
46.7%
48.0%
P2
47.5%
46.5%
P3
45.6%
46.9%
OT
37.5%
52.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 00:56 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Jack McBain |