Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Bennett 46.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 51.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 78.0%
Neutral zone
McBain 50.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
McBain
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McBain
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
46.5% (909)
+4.7%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
43.1% (51)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
38.5% (13)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
McBain
Bennett
Home
53.6% (235)
45.4% (449)
Away
46.0% (224)
46.9% (524)
By Period
McBain
Bennett
P1
48.6%
49.6%
P2
50.9%
43.7%
P3
50.0%
45.1%
Final 5 min
55.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Jack McBain |