Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 45.5%). McBain wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Bennett 45.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 59.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 68.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 64.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
McBain
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McBain
Bennett
Last 7: McBain 2-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McBain
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
McBain
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
McBain
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
44.7% (772)
+1.6%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
56.9% (58)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
42.9% (28)
-5.1%
On power play, Bennett has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McBain shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
McBain
Bennett
Home
50.6% (330)
48.5% (447)
Away
39.7% (320)
42.1% (411)
By Period
McBain
Bennett
P1
45.4%
47.1%
P2
44.5%
45.8%
P3
45.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Jack McBain |