Jaden Schwartz vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 50.0% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Schwartz 63.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 89.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 57.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Last 10: Schwartz 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
3
1
Schwartz
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
5
Schwartz
MacKinnon
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schwartz
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (651)
46.1% (11,218)
+1.1%
Power Play
56.2% (345)
53.3% (1,412)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
42.8% (502)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schwartz is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Schwartz shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Home
51.3% (526)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
48.6% (516)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Schwartz
MacKinnon
P1
49.1%
47.4%
P2
49.7%
46.6%
P3
51.0%
46.1%
OT
53.3%
48.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2014 | OT | 03:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |