Jaden Schwartz vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 49.6% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 50.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 72.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Schwartz
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (32)
45.8% (755)
+4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
48.3% (60)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
27.6% (29)
-27.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schwartz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Schwartz shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Home
42.1% (19)
49.5% (396)
Away
56.3% (16)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Schwartz
MacKinnon
P1
47.1%
50.2%
P2
45.5%
43.8%
P3
40.0%
41.4%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.6%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
48.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%