Jaden Schwartz vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.9%). Schwartz wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 50.0% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 60.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 66.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Schwartz
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (39)
49.2% (1,266)
-3.0%
Power Play
55.2% (29)
54.9% (193)
+0.3%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schwartz is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Schwartz shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Home
55.9% (34)
50.9% (740)
Away
44.1% (34)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Schwartz
MacKinnon
P1
52.9%
50.9%
P2
50.0%
51.8%
P3
47.6%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%