Jaden Schwartz vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 54.4% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 88.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 58.4%
Neutral zone
Schwartz 79.5%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
1
0
Schwartz
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schwartz
1
0
Schwartz
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (59)
45.5% (1,190)
+0.3%
Power Play
64.4% (101)
56.4% (94)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.0% (30)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schwartz is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Schwartz shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Home
61.0% (82)
47.8% (670)
Away
53.2% (79)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Schwartz
MacKinnon
P1
58.6%
45.3%
P2
46.8%
48.5%
P3
64.2%
45.0%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
64.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
57.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |