Jaden Schwartz vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 52.9% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (+7.0%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 51.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 68.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Schwartz
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (38)
50.0% (992)
+10.5%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
64.9% (148)
-11.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schwartz is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Schwartz shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Home
71.4% (21)
53.3% (591)
Away
50.0% (32)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Schwartz
MacKinnon
P1
60.9%
49.9%
P2
69.2%
53.2%
P3
47.1%
50.8%
Final 5 min
76.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
58.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%