Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Evans 52.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 64.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 65.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Lazar
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
Evans
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Lazar
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
54.4% (824)
-3.0%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
66.7% (9)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
48.1% (289)
-0.9%
On power play, Evans has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lazar is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Lazar
Evans
Home
49.7% (163)
55.1% (541)
Away
52.3% (237)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Lazar
Evans
P1
46.9%
51.8%
P2
53.3%
53.3%
P3
53.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Jake Evans |