Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Evans 52.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 93.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 51.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 72.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Malkin
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Malkin
Evans
Last 6: Malkin 1-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Malkin
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
3
Malkin
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
54.4% (824)
-8.9%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
66.7% (9)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.1% (289)
+51.9%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Malkin
Evans
Home
47.5% (326)
55.1% (541)
Away
44.0% (307)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Malkin
Evans
P1
49.3%
51.8%
P2
44.7%
53.3%
P3
42.3%
53.8%
OT
66.7%
38.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:27 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |