Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Benn 59.1% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 73.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 55.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Evans
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Evans
Benn
Last 10: Evans 3-7 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
6
Evans
Benn
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Benn
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
61.8% (584)
-7.3%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
56.7% (224)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
56.1% (57)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Evans
Benn
Home
49.4% (336)
64.4% (433)
Away
54.8% (314)
55.8% (432)
By Period
Evans
Benn
P1
55.8%
61.8%
P2
51.7%
59.6%
P3
48.2%
59.2%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
62.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Jake Evans |