Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Benn 55.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 87.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 79.5%
Neutral zone
Benn 55.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 87.2%
12.8%
87.2%
Evans
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Evans
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
55.9% (365)
-1.5%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
56.8% (132)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
53.1% (32)
-5.0%
On power play, Evans has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Benn is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Evans
Benn
Home
55.1% (541)
57.3% (267)
Away
50.8% (581)
54.6% (262)
By Period
Evans
Benn
P1
51.8%
54.3%
P2
53.3%
55.7%
P3
53.8%
58.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |