Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 53.0%). Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Benn 52.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 83.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 52.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Evans
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
16
(30 meetings)
14
16
Evans
Benn
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
11
Evans
Benn
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
9
2
Evans
Benn
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Evans
Benn
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
53.5% (6,450)
+0.3%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
52.5% (2,054)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
49.3% (515)
-2.2%
On power play, Evans has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Home / Away
Evans
Benn
Home
53.4% (2,593)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Evans
Benn
P1
54.0%
51.9%
P2
50.9%
52.6%
P3
52.0%
54.0%
OT
46.5%
62.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |