Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Benn 59.9% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 87.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 79.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 56.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Evans
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Evans
Benn
Last 10: Evans 5-5 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
3
Evans
Benn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
0
Evans
Benn
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
3
Evans
Benn
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
62.6% (479)
-8.2%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
58.4% (190)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
58.1% (43)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Evans
Benn
Home
53.7% (581)
60.5% (349)
Away
50.5% (556)
62.0% (363)
By Period
Evans
Benn
P1
54.6%
60.8%
P2
50.0%
60.1%
P3
52.3%
62.4%
OT
46.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |