Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Ek 47.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 79.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 58.2%
Neutral zone
Ek 56.5%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Evans
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Evans
Ek
Last 8: Evans 3-5 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
2
Evans
Ek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
2
Evans
Ek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Ek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
48.0% (920)
+3.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
52.0% (302)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
40.3% (243)
+2.7%
On even strength, Evans has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Ek is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Evans
Ek
Home
52.1% (503)
49.1% (740)
Away
47.0% (423)
46.1% (725)
By Period
Evans
Ek
P1
50.5%
47.6%
P2
47.7%
48.9%
P3
51.3%
45.4%
OT
40.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |