Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Ek 49.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 60.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 61.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Evans
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Evans
Ek
Last 5: Evans 4-1 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Ek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Ek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
48.4% (926)
+6.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
55.4% (327)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
41.4% (133)
+2.5%
On even strength, Evans has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Ek is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Evans
Ek
Home
49.4% (336)
50.1% (689)
Away
54.8% (314)
48.6% (697)
By Period
Evans
Ek
P1
55.8%
49.5%
P2
51.7%
49.3%
P3
48.2%
48.9%
OT
100.0%
53.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Jake Evans |