Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Ek 48.8% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 50.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 94.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 84.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Evans
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Evans
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Ek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
47.2% (815)
+9.0%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
53.8% (266)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
47.8% (180)
+7.6%
On power play, Evans has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Ek is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Evans
Ek
Home
55.3% (374)
49.9% (693)
Away
57.1% (317)
47.2% (568)
By Period
Evans
Ek
P1
58.5%
46.2%
P2
55.7%
52.6%
P3
53.9%
46.5%
OT
66.7%
54.9%
Final 5 min
54.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | OT | 02:34 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |