Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Ek 47.4% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 83.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 71.2%
Neutral zone
Ek 56.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 83.0%
17.0%
83.0%
Evans
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Evans
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
47.6% (609)
+6.8%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
53.3% (152)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
34.9% (106)
+13.2%
On power play, Evans has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Ek is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Evans
Ek
Home
55.1% (541)
49.2% (331)
Away
50.8% (581)
45.7% (536)
By Period
Evans
Ek
P1
51.8%
38.7%
P2
53.3%
52.9%
P3
53.8%
48.8%
OT
38.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |