Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Toews 58.4% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 65.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 66.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Evans
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Evans
Toews
Last 6: Evans 1-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
5
Evans
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
58.0% (901)
-6.7%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
69.5% (226)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
51.7% (209)
-8.7%
On power play, Toews has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Evans
Toews
Home
52.1% (503)
59.3% (637)
Away
47.0% (423)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Evans
Toews
P1
50.5%
61.5%
P2
47.7%
55.2%
P3
51.3%
60.0%
OT
40.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |