Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Toews 61.9% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 70.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 77.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Evans
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Evans
Toews
Last 7: Evans 1-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
5
Evans
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Evans
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
61.1% (650)
-6.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
71.9% (192)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
59.6% (99)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Evans
Toews
Home
49.4% (336)
64.8% (560)
Away
54.8% (314)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Evans
Toews
P1
55.8%
62.3%
P2
51.7%
63.9%
P3
48.2%
62.8%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |