Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Toews 57.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 69.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 95.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 82.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Evans
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Evans
Toews
Last 10: Evans 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
12
Evans
Toews
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
0
Evans
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Evans
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
57.2% (13,047)
-3.4%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
63.3% (3,252)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
53.6% (1,810)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Home / Away
Evans
Toews
Home
53.4% (2,593)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Evans
Toews
P1
54.0%
58.6%
P2
50.9%
57.8%
P3
52.0%
57.3%
OT
46.5%
58.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |