Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Staal 57.6% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 89.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 80.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Evans
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Evans
Staal
Last 10: Evans 8-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
4
Evans
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
2
Evans
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
5
0
Evans
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
58.9% (1,096)
-4.5%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
68.4% (57)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
51.8% (222)
-5.7%
On power play, Staal has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Evans
Staal
Home
53.7% (581)
57.0% (646)
Away
50.5% (556)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Evans
Staal
P1
54.6%
55.9%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
52.3%
62.0%
OT
46.7%
70.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |