Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 55.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 58.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Evans
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Evans
Staal
Last 6: Evans 2-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Evans
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
56.3% (1,115)
-1.8%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
61.2% (67)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
52.1% (292)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Evans
Staal
Home
49.4% (336)
58.3% (705)
Away
54.8% (314)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Evans
Staal
P1
55.8%
54.5%
P2
51.7%
58.2%
P3
48.2%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |