Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Staal 54.6% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Staal 75.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Evans
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
56.1% (955)
+0.1%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
66.9% (142)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
43.0% (242)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Evans
Staal
Home
55.3% (374)
55.4% (663)
Away
57.1% (317)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Evans
Staal
P1
58.5%
55.1%
P2
55.7%
54.7%
P3
53.9%
53.9%
OT
66.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%