Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 53.9% vs Staal 55.1% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Staal 73.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 65.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Evans
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (349)
57.2% (740)
-3.6%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
67.0% (88)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (161)
43.9% (187)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Evans is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Evans shoots right. Staal is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Evans
Staal
Home
54.1% (290)
55.4% (518)
Away
55.2% (230)
55.7% (497)
By Period
Evans
Staal
P1
60.1%
53.6%
P2
53.5%
56.6%
P3
50.3%
55.7%
OT
33.3%
65.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
54.6%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%