Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Dowling 50.7% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Dowling 71.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 77.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Evans
Dowling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
53.3% (30)
-2.0%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
50.0% (10)
+3.3%
On power play, Evans has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Dowling is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Evans
Dowling
Home
52.1% (503)
41.7% (12)
Away
47.0% (423)
57.1% (28)
By Period
Evans
Dowling
P1
50.5%
42.9%
P2
47.7%
60.0%
P3
51.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
72.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.5%