Jake Evans vs Justin Dowling

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jake Evans holds a +22.9% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Evans 55.4% vs Dowling 49.5% (+22.9%)
Offensive zone Dowling 72.8%
Defensive zone Evans 85.0%
Neutral zone Evans 55.4%
Result Jake Evans favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Evans Dowling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Evans
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
33.3% (3)
+22.9%
On even strength, Evans has a +22.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Dowling is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (2).
Home / Away
Evans
Dowling
Home
55.3% (374)
100.0% (1)
Away
57.1% (317)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Evans
Dowling
P1
58.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.3%
0.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%
60.5%
56.2%
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
33.3%