Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Stenlund 52.7% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Evans 55.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 58.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Evans
Stenlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
58.2% (359)
-3.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
47.1% (17)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
42.0% (150)
+1.9%
On power play, Evans has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Evans shoots right. Stenlund is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Evans
Stenlund
Home
49.4% (336)
53.6% (261)
Away
54.8% (314)
52.8% (265)
By Period
Evans
Stenlund
P1
55.8%
55.4%
P2
51.7%
51.5%
P3
48.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%