Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Stenlund 51.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 59.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 52.5%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 63.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Evans
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Evans
Stenlund
Last 5: Evans 1-4 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Evans
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Evans
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
54.4% (592)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
42.9% (14)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
44.1% (229)
+2.0%
On power play, Evans has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Stenlund is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Evans
Stenlund
Home
53.7% (581)
50.7% (402)
Away
50.5% (556)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Evans
Stenlund
P1
54.6%
56.5%
P2
50.0%
52.4%
P3
52.3%
45.2%
OT
46.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |