Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 78.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 57.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 76.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Evans
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Evans
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
58.6% (797)
-4.2%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
62.5% (24)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
60.5% (233)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Evans shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Evans
Stenlund
Home
55.1% (541)
58.6% (548)
Away
50.8% (581)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Evans
Stenlund
P1
51.8%
60.2%
P2
53.3%
59.1%
P3
53.8%
58.3%
OT
38.5%
58.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Jake Evans |