Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.5%). Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Eller 49.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 52.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 54.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Evans
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Evans
Eller
Last 6: Evans 4-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
0
Evans
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Evans
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
51.1% (786)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
45.0% (80)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
43.6% (165)
-0.6%
On power play, Evans has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Evans
Eller
Home
52.1% (503)
51.2% (510)
Away
47.0% (423)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Evans
Eller
P1
50.5%
50.7%
P2
47.7%
49.0%
P3
51.3%
48.3%
OT
40.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Jake Evans |